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Post by herosrest on Jan 31, 2019 12:10:56 GMT
There are people who believe that study is worthwhile and amongst those are those (them) who feel, think, believe, obsess, that we can do something about the weather. As this Study - 1 shows, there ia an immense problem with modern research. Can people control the weather? No. Will people ever be able to contol the climate? No If our climate alters significantly - can we do anything about it? No. If we were able to alter the climate - Who would do it? erm........... scientists! ?? We have a very serious problem with people who study climate. They are nuts. We cannot control the weather. We can control people. Guess what will happen. This is a thoroughly fascinating research fiction based upon strata of suppositions which are broadly frivolous. I would love R.A. Fox to honestly criticise the research. 1 Earth system impacts of the European arrival and Great Dying in the Americas after 1492 Authors Alexander Kocha Chris Brierley Mark M.Maslina Simon L.Lewisab
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Post by deadwoodgultch on Jan 31, 2019 15:46:39 GMT
HR, I posted this elsewhere earlier today. Ian, It is 7 degrees(F) in Washington DC and 10(F) here. Rather warm here compared to Minn. & Chicago yesterday. We have had 3 snows since the week prior Christmas, 2 are more than 8". I a not Henny Penny, in 2008 or 09 we had more snow than Buffalo, NY, it is out of the normal over 70 inches. It is beautiful, but tiresome at those amounts. It's not the "Little Ice Age". I think I may have mentioned this before but we had a 70 degree Christmas in the early 1960's. Read more: greatsiouxwar1876.proboards.com/conversation/308?page=27#ixzz5eCURQLyI
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Post by herosrest on Feb 1, 2019 16:06:35 GMT
I just laugh at the idea of controling weather and the BSc's who in one way and another tell us that weather is variable and changes. Like....... we didn't know this. Human activity affects the weather but the degree to which this is relevant is unknown today. Modern record keeping will provide worthwhile data sets but extrapolating 15th Century supposition on population is nuts. So is the way that population growth is expressed as a percentage. In reality in 1980 there were 3.5 billion humans and today there are 7.6bn with no reason to believe that population will not double again by 2060 and again by 2100. That is 33 billion and they will need an awful lot more trees than there are now. Human CO 2 output is considered to be neutral because foilage soaks it up. This is rubbish but politicians do not do population control. Well.... not the population which elects them. Sensible people in advanced economies addressed the climate issue with onechild families. Economics anyone? The research article is broadly basic rubbish at this time but provides for the means to develop the tools which can understand modern recent data, so in a thousand years, with world population beyond trillions (interesting mathematics) scienticts can prove that humanity, like Custer, is up a creek with no paddle. Live well. Live free. Hug a tree! Here GG0516.pdf (899.84 KB) is a wonderful research article. Worth the read and some reflection. Question: Have you ever seen a horse in a tree? Moscow's burning, again.
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Post by yanmacca on Feb 1, 2019 20:42:42 GMT
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Post by herosrest on Apr 14, 2022 9:39:52 GMT
When the Saxons organised before moving north to wallop our Danish friends at Stamford Bridge, Ansgar martialled the army's horses as the men gathered. Legend places those herds across the ridges of small hills (which dominate the terrain) at Perivale on the thickly wooded Horsenden Hill, running northwards to what is today Church Hill upon which Harrow College stands. They rode north and knocked considerably more than stuffing out a pillaging northern host led by King Harold's brother. Vikings in a viciously ruthless slaughter. The victorious Saxon army returned south then, to fight William at Senlac and the rest is history. A Norman Pincer, was succesful by sacrificing the Vikings. However, Hastings was a close run thing and perhaps histories greatest disaster. Anyone for Frog's legs....... The large expanse of hills were heavily wooded as they remain today and were covered with huge horse herds - as was at Little Bighorn 810 years later. You could not see the horses for the trees but the horses were in the trees. Regards >>>>>>>>>>>
Apparently, Moscow's burning, again. Terminater II
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Post by deadwoodgultch on Apr 14, 2022 10:58:12 GMT
Ah, the Battle of Hastings, reference.
Regards, Tom
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Post by quincannon on Apr 14, 2022 17:00:43 GMT
Hastings is, to a point, a good example, one that Ukraine can learn a lot of lessons from. In the end though it was not so much a Norman win, but a Saxon loss. William let Harold defeat himself.
Case in point. The Saxon's wanted to liberate the ground that the Norman invasion had taken. That was a logical wish. That was also a mistake, just as it would be a mistake for Ukraine to attempt to liberate the ground the Russians have taken. The attacks in the north have revealed Russian weaknesses in combined arms tactics, miserable levels of small and large unit leadership, and logistics. Those weaknesses cannot be remedied overnight, or in any short term period that will do the Russians any good. They may in fact take a decade or multiple decades to fix.
The Saxons lost Hastings because they were greedy, and angry. That is the lesson here. The proper course of action would have been to contain the battle space and avoid offensive battle, letting William's forces die on the vine of logistical support. The second lesson is when the enemy is running, pursue, but don't run after him. There are two reasons for the enemy to run. One of them is bad for him, and the second is bad for you.
Fredericksburg is the proper example for Ukraine. Let the buggers attack all they please, so you can kill them all you please. Don't get angry. Don't get greedy. Keep your operational wits about you, and let them defeat themselves. Remain on the operational and strategic defensive. Limit your offensive operations to counterattacks. Keep the other fellows off balance, by irregular warfare in their rear, and by targeted, but limited surgical attacks. DO NOT SEEK REVENGE. DO NOT SEEK TERRITORIAL LIBERATION. SEEK VICTORY.
On a lighter side. I really like that picture HR. It inspires my modeling. Really resembles late war German camouflage. I am taking copious notes.
On a completely rediculous note though, I see that Mississippi's governor has once again declared April to be "Treason Heritage Month". Will these stupid politicians ever learn that such actions are needessly hurtful to some people, and some people vote? It is another one of those gifts that keep on giving to the Democrats.
In even better news, the cruiser Moskova is taking a very long vacation in Davy Jones' Locker.
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Post by herosrest on Apr 15, 2022 16:34:45 GMT
I am messing about with numbers which... is never a wise thing, but.... idle mind and Putin poking the fire is annoying. Per EIA.gov - www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=49016The US consumed 18.1 million barrels of oil per day in 2020. Say 7 barrels per tonne. 2.6 million tonnes. Per ycharts.com/indicators/germany_crude_oil_importsGermany for December, 2021 consumed 7.334M Obviously the numbers are cuckoo and my maths also... since, this says the US uses in 3 days, what Germny does in a month. Cutting US consumption by 10% would supply Germany's entire oil consumption. Putin - Russian President Vladimir Putin says Europe has no alternative than to keep using Russian energy, warning of “extremely painful” economic consequences if the continent tries to replace its supply of oil and gas.
"A reasonable replacement for Europe simply does not exist," Putin told media via video link from his residence near Moscow on Thursday.
"There are simply no spare volumes in the global market, and deliveries from other countries, primarily the US, which may be sent to Europe, will cost the consumers many times more."
Real conundrum, ain't it. Ah............. The point of all that, this...... He's going to pull the plug anyway. Save a Ukrainian today, drive a few less miles.
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Post by herosrest on Apr 15, 2022 17:37:53 GMT
Life's never that easy though - On average, refineries can convert a single 42-gallon barrel of oil into either 12 gallons of diesel fuel, 4 gallons of jet fuel or 19 gallons of gasoline. The 42-gallon standard for a barrel of oil was adopted officially in 1866 when a group of U.S. oil producers gathered in Titusville, Pennsylvania. Anysways, using the German number and current prices.... Global purchases of imported crude oil were worth a total US$709 billion in 2020 reflecting demand from 131 countries, territories or islands. In 2020 Germany paid $27.4 billion for oil. Europa - ycharts.com/indicators/sources/eurostat German montly average in mtoe - 7.25 (million tonnes of oil equivalent) At today oil price this is $761,250,000 which x 12 is $9,135,000,000 and a ways short of $27.4bn..... So, as I amshowing, the numbers are munching bulch bulbs which blossom, wither and cavort the energy profession's industry. Now, where was I? Gas........... Putin's gas. Pheeeew................... Of course. Mtoe is a tonne so call it 7.25 x 7.3 for $5,557,125,000. $5.5bn and not really worth getting out of bed for. If Germany and the US cut oil consumtion by 10% each, and the US ships its surplus to Germany then dear old Vlad gets a serious headache. Off course oil is a finite resource so this is a one trick pony but ever, ever, so ever, worth it. Did you know that Russia discounts its gas by $30 per barrel and those buying it are breaking every competion law on statute books. Very, very, naughty.
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Post by herosrest on Apr 15, 2022 17:48:51 GMT
My Dear Americans................. In 2020, Americans used about 123 billion gallons of motor gasoline—or about 337 million gallons per day—and about 166 million gallons of aviation gasoline. Gasoline is one of the major fuels consumed in the United States and is the main product that U.S. oil refineries produce. Most of the motor gasoline sold for use in vehicles in the United States is about 10% fuel ethanol by volume. www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-61117828 German Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck has called on the public to cut energy use and stop using cars to help wean their country off Russian oil and gas. "If you can take the train or bike over Easter, that's good too: it's easy on the wallet and annoys Putin," said Mr Habeck, who is also economics minister and co-leader of the Greens. To hell with weaning............................
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Post by herosrest on Apr 15, 2022 18:01:52 GMT
I guess that Germany would have to crash build a few oil tankers. A couple of aircraft carriers might be helpful.
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Post by herosrest on Apr 17, 2022 1:47:53 GMT
An interesting article on what is the nuts of the current struggles come to first hydra's head in Ukraine as the balance of power in Europe is altered. www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-russian-geoeconomics-tzar-introduces-new-global-financial-systemIt's an unusual interbiew and i'm not done researching yet but it is informative and provocative in ' following the money'. Quote (yawn): 'Sergey Glazyev is a man living right in the eye of our current geopolitical and geoeconomic hurricane. One of the most influential economists in the world, a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and a former adviser to the Kremlin from 2012 to 2019, for the past three years he has helmed Moscow’s uber strategic portfolio as Minister in Charge of Integration and Macroeconomics of the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU). Glazyev’s recent intellectual production has been nothing short of transformative, epitomized by his essay Sanctions and Sovereignty and an extensive discussion of the new, emerging geoeconomic paradigm........' One area of interest I hold is this guys time (if any) at WEF during the past decade. For those who don't know, his economic concept or model, is basically that of the Euro which works because of the binding of the EU member states into a rigid ecpnomic undertaking which works in a rather peculiar (but quite normal) way imposed by agreement and legislation.
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Post by deadwoodgultch on Apr 17, 2022 12:38:24 GMT
Great food for though. The Soviet system failed after about 73 years. The Chinese had to change their system to steal, grow, and compete. As recently as 1979 China's economy ranked behind Venezuela, then Venezuela began converting to communism and an autocratic system. The problem with macroeconomics is it tends to ignore microeconomics, you know if you watch the pennies the dollars take care of themselves. We in the West are seemingly ignoring this as well. Nobody can continue to take care of those who refuse to take care of themselves. Obviously I am giving economics short shrift as this post could go on for days.
Regards, Tom
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Post by herosrest on Apr 17, 2022 23:04:24 GMT
Once producers and production arrive at surpluses you have an economy and economics based in value. People then become creative without bounds.
Within the mathematics applied to wealth and wealth creation, theories find favour and progress and can be disastrous or immensely succesful.
Everything depends upon the climate as the bible tries to remind us.
Shaving micro percentages off billions is lucrative business. It used to get opponents nailed to a cross.
God bless.
Each 70 years or so, a reset kicks in.
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Post by herosrest on Apr 18, 2022 1:56:13 GMT
A prolonged conflict in eastern Europe constrains supply of 65 million tons of grain in the coming year and perhaps 45 million tons from current Russian and Ukrainian crops.
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